| Outcome | Share of simulations |
|---|---|
| -3.8 seats | 0.0% |
| -2.7 seats | 0.1% |
| -1.6 seats | 1.3% |
| -0.5 seats | 8.0% |
| 0.6 seats | 23.6% |
| 1.7 seats | 34.0% |
| 2.8 seats | 23.6% |
| 3.9 seats | 8.0% |
| 5.0 seats | 1.3% |
| 6.1 seats | 0.1% |
| 7.2 seats | 0.0% |
Live model read · Tennessee House forecast
1.7 seats across House districts in this state.MethodologyVerify the mathGenerate worksheetUpdated Jul 12, 2026