| Outcome | Share of simulations |
|---|---|
| 9.5 seats | 0.9% |
| 11.8 seats | 2.7% |
| 14.1 seats | 6.5% |
| 16.4 seats | 12.2% |
| 18.7 seats | 17.7% |
| 21.0 seats | 20.1% |
| 23.3 seats | 17.7% |
| 25.6 seats | 12.2% |
| 27.9 seats | 6.5% |
| 30.2 seats | 2.7% |
| 32.5 seats | 0.9% |
Live model read · New York House forecast
21.0 seats across House districts in this state.MethodologyVerify the mathGenerate worksheetUpdated Jul 12, 2026