| Outcome | Share of simulations |
|---|---|
| 1.7 seats | 0.9% |
| 3.2 seats | 2.7% |
| 4.7 seats | 6.5% |
| 6.3 seats | 12.2% |
| 7.8 seats | 17.7% |
| 9.3 seats | 20.1% |
| 10.9 seats | 17.7% |
| 12.4 seats | 12.2% |
| 13.9 seats | 6.5% |
| 15.4 seats | 2.7% |
| 17.0 seats | 0.9% |
Live model read · New Jersey House forecast
9.3 seats across House districts in this state.MethodologyVerify the mathGenerate worksheetUpdated Jul 12, 2026