| Outcome | Share of simulations |
|---|---|
| -0.9 seats | 0.8% |
| 0.2 seats | 2.5% |
| 1.3 seats | 6.3% |
| 2.4 seats | 12.1% |
| 3.5 seats | 18.0% |
| 4.6 seats | 20.5% |
| 5.7 seats | 18.0% |
| 6.8 seats | 12.1% |
| 7.9 seats | 6.3% |
| 9.0 seats | 2.5% |
| 10.1 seats | 0.8% |
Live model read · Minnesota House forecast
4.6 seats across House districts in this state.MethodologyVerify the mathGenerate worksheetUpdated Jul 12, 2026