| Outcome | Share of simulations |
|---|---|
| -3.7 seats | 0.0% |
| -2.6 seats | 0.1% |
| -1.5 seats | 1.5% |
| -0.4 seats | 8.4% |
| 0.7 seats | 23.4% |
| 1.8 seats | 32.9% |
| 2.9 seats | 23.4% |
| 4.0 seats | 8.4% |
| 5.1 seats | 1.5% |
| 6.2 seats | 0.1% |
| 7.3 seats | 0.0% |
Live model read · Iowa House forecast
1.8 seats across House districts in this state.MethodologyVerify the mathGenerate worksheetUpdated Jul 12, 2026