| Outcome | Share of simulations |
|---|---|
| -3.6 seats | 0.0% |
| -2.5 seats | 0.2% |
| -1.4 seats | 1.8% |
| -0.3 seats | 8.9% |
| 0.8 seats | 23.2% |
| 1.9 seats | 31.8% |
| 3.0 seats | 23.2% |
| 4.1 seats | 8.9% |
| 5.2 seats | 1.8% |
| 6.3 seats | 0.2% |
| 7.4 seats | 0.0% |
Live model read · Hawaii House forecast
1.9 seats across House districts in this state.MethodologyVerify the mathGenerate worksheetUpdated Jul 12, 2026