| Outcome | Share of simulations |
|---|---|
| -4.0 seats | 0.0% |
| -2.9 seats | 0.2% |
| -1.8 seats | 3.9% |
| -0.7 seats | 24.0% |
| 0.4 seats | 43.9% |
| 1.5 seats | 24.0% |
| 2.6 seats | 3.9% |
| 3.7 seats | 0.2% |
| 4.8 seats | 0.0% |
Live model read · Arkansas House forecast
0.4 seats across House districts in this state.MethodologyVerify the mathGenerate worksheetUpdated Jul 12, 2026